The Markets

Bond Market Update

The Federal Reserve’s fight against inflation appears to be finally paying dividends. From a high of over 9% in early 2022 the consumer price index (CPI) has come down into the low 3% range; in November core inflation (which excludes the volatile components of food and energy) was reported a 3.1%. While still above the […]

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bond market

Bond Market Update

Interest rates continued to march higher in the third quarter. In July the Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds rate for the tenth time to a range of 5.25%-5.5%. The labor market remains firm with the unemployment rate to 3.8%. Although inflation has declined, it is still not near the Fed’s target of 2%. The

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Bond Market Update

Interest rates resumed their uptrend in the second quarter after having declined earlier this year. The collapse of two large banks had given hope to investors that the Federal Reserve would refrain from further rate increases and even potentially lower rates. Fed officials feared their past rate increases, together with recent banking industry stresses, would

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Bond Market first quarter 2023

Bond Market Update

Early in the year bond yields declined along with an improved stock market on hopes the Federal Reserve would slow its pace of rate increases. After raising rates at the fastest pace since the 1980s, inflation and economic growth appeared to have slowed. Investors interpreted the Fed’s .25% rate increase in February, down from as

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Bond Market Update

The year 2022 saw interest rates increase across all maturities as inflation soared to levels not seen in several decades. What had been considered transient inflation due to supply chain constraints/bottlenecks turned out to be intransient. To rein in inflation, the Federal Reserve embarked on a series of interest rate increases beginning early in the

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Bond Market Corner

The bond market continued to surprise investors during the fourth quarter. Despite investors’ fears of higher interest-rates, longer term bond yields have maintained their low levels. The 10-year US treasury reached a high of 1.66% during the quarter before declining to 1.52% as fears over the Omnicom variant stoked fears of slower growth. Although this

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US Economic Revival

Market Insights/April 6, 2021 On the third business day of every month, IHS Markit releases a Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for more than 40 worldwide economies. The US Services PMI is based on monthly questionnaire surveys collected from over 400 U.S. companies and cover topics like new business, employment and expectations going forward. And since

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